Toward Expert Investment Teams:A Multi-Agent LLM System with Fine-Grained Trading Tasks

LLM PTSAD Agent Agent Planning Tool Learning Multi-agent Collaboration Autonomous Workflows AI Apps / Applied AI EQT
大语言模型(LLMs)的快速发展,显著推动了自主化金融交易系统的研究与应用。当前主流方法多采用多智能体系统,分别模拟分析师与投资经理等角色;但这类方法通常依赖抽象、笼统的指令,忽视了真实投研工作流中诸多细微而关键的环节,从而导致推理性能下降,决策过程也缺乏可解释性。为此,我们提出一种基于多智能体大语言模型的交易框架,其核心在于将投资分析显式地分解为细粒度的具体任务,而非仅提供粗粒度的高层指令。我们在严格控制数据泄露的回测环境下,利用日本股市数据(涵盖股价、财务报表、新闻舆情及宏观经济信息)对所提框架进行了实证评估。实验结果表明,相较于传统粗粒度指令设计,细粒度任务分解能显著提升经风险调整后的收益表现。尤为关键的是,对各智能体中间输出的深入分析揭示:分析结果与下游决策偏好之间的一致性,是决定整个系统性能的关键因素。此外,我们还开展了标准的投资组合优化——充分利用各系统输出与股票指数之间的低相关性,以及各系统自身输出的方差特征;该优化策略进一步实现了更优的整体表现。上述发现为在实际交易场景中设计大语言模型智能体的架构与任务配置提供了重要参考与实践指导。
The advancement of large language models (LLMs) has accelerated the development of autonomous financial trading systems. While mainstream approaches deploy multi-agent systems mimicking analyst and manager roles, they often rely on abstract instructions that overlook the intricacies of real-world workflows, which can lead to degraded inference performance and less transparent decision-making. Therefore, we propose a multi-agent LLM trading framework that explicitly decomposes investment analysis into fine-grained tasks, rather than providing coarse-grained instructions. We evaluate the proposed framework using Japanese stock data, including prices, financial statements, news, and macro information, under a leakage-controlled backtesting setting. Experimental results show that fine-grained task decomposition significantly improves risk-adjusted returns compared to conventional coarse-grained designs. Crucially, further analysis of intermediate agent outputs suggests that alignment between analytical outputs and downstream decision preferences is a critical driver of system performance. Moreover, we conduct standard portfolio optimization, exploiting low correlation with the stock index and the variance of each system's output. This approach achieves superior performance. These findings contribute to the design of agent structure and task configuration when applying LLM agents to trading systems in practical settings.
许愿